MCP and UTM reject EIU report tipping Mutharika to win: ‘Voters, not opinion polls, will decide who should be next Malawi leader’

March 21, 2019 Osman Faiti & James Nthondo-Nyasa Times 31 Comments

Main opposition Malawi Congress Party (MCP)   and UTM Party have h dismissed a report by United Kingdom-based Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) ,  hinting that incumbent President  Peter Mutharika and his Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) would win the May 21 2019 elections.

Three top presidential candidates 2019

MCP secretary general Elsenhower Mkasa said predictions by EIU  lacked credibility while UTM spokesperson Dr Joseph Chidanti Malunga trashed the report saying the UK based organization has no clue on what is going on the ground

Mkaka said the EIU has often wrongly predicted several elections, which he said undermines the prediction of Mutharika’s alleged victory in the upcoming vote.

“Economist Intelligence Unit is notorious for cooking up surveys. They have missed a number of time. They can’t be trusted,” said Mkaka.

Apparently, he was referring to  the report the run-up to the May 20 2014 Tripartite Elections, when the EIU wrongly predicted a victory for then president Joyce Banda who was voted out after finishing a distant third in both presidential and parliamentary races.

EIU is a member of The Economist Group.

Mkaka said the country’s oldest political party is on its way to form government for the first time since losing the first post-independence multiparty elections in 1994.

He said in the age saturated by data and opinion polls, most people know, surely, not to take the results of any one survey too seriously.

In a separate interview with Nyasa Times, UTM’s spokesman said Malawian voters should not be swayed by  rogue polls that use unreliable methods, statistical outliers that reflect random-sampling errors.

Malunga said: “This is the problem of writing reports while you are sitting in your poshy office in London.  If these guys were on the ground they would know that Mutharika is on his way out.”

He added: “In fact even DPP themselves were shocked that the report said their leader was going to win the elections  because they know the truth that they are going out of government and what they are doing now is waiting for the time while they put a brave face.”

Malunga  said if EIU were to come to Malawi and talk to the voters on the ground, they would not have produced a report declaring that Mutharika will win the elections.

” We are confident that our presidential candidate Dr Saulos Chilima win these elections fair and square because this is what is on the ground, ” said Chidanti.

“We have and we are still delivering our messages to the peope and the response has been great. We are winning these elections, ” declared Chidanti.

“But we know that EIU produces similar reports in the same manner. Every election time they produce a report which supports the incumbent president.

“Last elections they predicted that Joyce Banda was going to win the elections but she ended up coming a distant third. It is like these guys have a template which they just take and insert the names whenever there is an election coming,” said Chidanti.

Former Attorney General Ralph Kasambara also wrote on Facebook to dismiss the EIU report.

“The so called report paraded on Nyasa Times, Malawi24 and MBC, etc was actually released last year January 2018,” Kasambara wrote.

A  University of Malawi political analyst Dr Mustafa Hussein said if conducted using scientific methods, opinion polls could give a true reflection even when repeated by those holding dissenting views as the opposition have done.

He said: “But politics are dynamic, things can change anytime and this is what could prevent people from becoming apathetic. Such surveys should also motivate people to go and vote.”

MCP, which governed the country in a one-party dictatorship from 1964 to 1994,   has been boosted  with more chances of winning in the election as  former president Joyce Banda formally withdrew her candidature in the presidential race  and officially announced her endorsement of MCP presidential candidate Lazarus Chakwera  while disadvantaging other political parties that will go it solo.

While MCP is in an electoral alliance with Banda’s People’s Party (PP) and former vice president Khumbo Kachali’s Freedom Party, UTM is in alliance with Aford and Tikonze Movement.

The DPP is in alliance with a tiny party Depeco of evangelist Chris Daza.

While UDF president Atupele Muluzi roped in Aford’s former Karonga Central legislature Frank Mwenifumbo to be his running mate , the only northerner appearing in the presidential ballot.

In the May 20 2014 Tripartite Elections, Banda finished third with 1 056 236 votes against 1 904 399 for the winner Peter Mutharika of Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and 1 455 880 for the runner-up Chakwera. Current Minister of Health Atupele Muluzi of United Democratic Front (UDF) was fourth with 717 224 votes.

About 6.59 million voters are expected to vote this year, with over half of the eligible voters being youths and women.

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31 replies on “MCP and UTM reject EIU report tipping Mutharika to win: ‘Voters, not opinion polls, will decide who should be next Malawi leader’”

  2. Ichi ndiye chamba chenicheni, who authorized these cashgate stained politicians to mark the report? APM awina basi.
    Lutepo was on record telling Malawians that he was an errand boy for JB delivering cashgate money to Rev L.Chakwera during the 2013 MCP convention. Zaululika lero kuti these thieves have been working together since 2013.
    The MoUs for the cashgaters were being negotiated and signed at Africana with the owner of Africana acting as a witness. How can you expect these cashgate stained politicians win an election? EIU’s report is, therefore correct, APM will have a landslide victory in the May 2019 election.
    We do not stop the leadership of MCP and UTM to erect at their own pleasure. Erection is their birth right but this coming election will go to APM.

  3. EU halt poking your dirty nose into our internal affairs.It is shameful for EU Nations who are facing notorious Islamic presence in their countries and impose their notorious and SATANIC SHERIA LAW..Mind you MalawI is not part of EU States now under siege of Islamici barbalic killers.For your information,you succeeded to impose brutal late Hastings Banda on us but,this time you will not impose the failed and corrupt Peter Muthalika on us.Please mind your own business and that Malawi and Africa are not for sale.For your information,Peter Muthalika will never win the coming elections come what may.Malawians,your brothers and sisters in diaspora are solidly behind the mighty UTM LED BY S.CHILIMA the aunthentic son of MALAWI therefore, EU OR NO EU,S.CHILIMA WILL BE THE NEXT PRESINDENT BY THE WILL OF OUR PEOPLE.EU PLEASE LEAVE AFRICA ALONE THIS IS TWENTIETH CENTURY AND NOT EIGHTEENTH CENTURY.AFRICA UNITE1111111

  7. Ummm! This analyst leaves in a different universe. The chocking realities on the ground are contrary to this inaccurate report hence APM is a worst president comparing others before. Microeconomics are determining factor to this election not cosmetic reforms & passive developments.

  9. This is a political propaganda, don’t worry, come May, malawians will decide. The battle is for MCP, DPp and UTM. Its natural to feel good when figures project you will win, komanso its natural for others to reject, because mpira sunaseweredwe. Useweredwa mu May.

  11. They will be even more shocked when they see the mighty UDF winning. They won’t understand how it happened but by then it will be too late. MARK THIS COMMENT.

    1. Vuto la ife achawa kusapita kusukulu koma jando, m’mbwiza ndi chisembwere basi. Mighty and UDF cannot be in the same sentence

  12. It’s their habit to reject scientific studies. They will also reject results on 22 May. But that is their problem.

    1. Who told you this is a scientific study? Which science was used to come up with the study? The EIU is writing their opinion? Since when did opinion become science? The EIU said their opinion about Joyce Banda winning in 2014. She came third. That’s is a good reason to doubt EIU’s opinion

  13. The fact has been told and kwasala ndikuti muzalire maresults akatuluka . Leave in denial at your own peril. The signs are clear on the wall that DPP is winning. The grassroots support DPP while facebook guys support UTM and are in minorty group. MCP kulibe chawo because of its unforgotten atrocities. As stated by one Political Analysist from Chanco, there is no way UTM and MCP or PP can accept the findings because they are in race. Its not good news for them at AT ALLL !!!!! and time is not on their side. Aluza kale anthuwa

  14. hahahaha Mulungu waloza chala a Chimulirenji kuti uyu ndiye akhale wachiwiri kwa mtsogoleri ku Malawi. Olo mutani Mutharika ndi Chimulirenji boma akutenga kuti woooooooo

  15. Kkkkkkkk the opposition is in serious denial of reality. It’s a pity. I’ll not be surprised hearing their atibela song on 22st May.

    2. Yes takonzeka kudzawathandiza kuyimba bass mbale. Paja awa ndi choncho adzakhulupirira chiyani poti chili chonse they say zabodza. KKKKKk ana achepa game yakula. Adziwe ichi chipani chiri chonse chikupanga kampeni zotsatira ndi pa 22 may 2019 basi koma chodziwikiratu nchakuiti akulukulu nsanje kutari mwa’na mnzako akagwira nthcito kumayamika APM wayesetsa even the opposers know this very well koma nanga si aliyense akuufuna upresidentwu nkhani nkukanako basi. Mulungu atipatsa president come may 22

  16. The truth of the matter is that there is no current report on this nature. Just give us a link to this report so that we can see it ourselves. Last time I check about Malawi,it was a report about the government declaring floods.

    1. @ Silica

      Chicken brain Silica there is no such a report wamva. Nyasatimes editors you allow too much lies on this forum. These things eat into your credibility.

  18. Are MCP and UTM spending sleepless nights over this fake report? DPP has stolen so much from taxpayers that they can afford to waste money paying bogus PRO firms.

    Remember predictions in the runner up to by election last year? What transpired thereafter?

    2. Let them do the research at their homeland not here in Malawi we don”t inter fear their politics .

      1. Its fake report…dont trust them they are good at producing fake reports. Unless you dont appreciate how our mother Malawi is moving now

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