EIU report tips Mutharika to win second term: Malawi likely to have hung parliament  

June 14, 2018 Nyasa Times Reporter 54 Comments

United Kingdom-based Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has tipped President Peter Mutharika and his Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) to win the 2019 elections with a “landslide” victory” for filling the financial black hole he inherited from his predecessor Joyce Banda four years ago.

President Peter Mutharika sets up for a likely second term in office come 2019.

In January 2018, the EIU had forecasted that Mutharika would win the elections narrowly because he was facing an uphill task to ease economic hardships causing dissatisfaction among citizens.

However, in its June 6, 2018 latest report, it indicates the victory will be overwhelming “although he is facing a mounting challenge from his opponents.”

EIU cited Mutharika’s delivery of robust development, continued growth in the economy and the fragmented opposition as key indicators of his advantage.

The London-based think tank also predicted that Malawi’s economy will continue growing.

But the report predicts that it seems unlikely that a single party will secure a majority in the legislature and Malawi may have a hung Parliament.

“The DPP will therefore continue to lead a minority government, dependent on support from smaller parties and independent members of parliament,” reads the report in party.

The report also indicates that former President Joyce Banda who has since returned to Malawi after a four-year self-imposed exile in the wake of Cashgate corruption scandal would not be a serious challenger for the presidency as her People’s Party membership has been “shrinking.”

Minister of Information and Communications Technology Nicholas Dausi, who is the official government spokesperson, has welcomed the report, saying the DPP will likely win because it was also addressing its shortfalls.

EIU is a member of The Economist Group.

 

 

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54 replies on “EIU report tips Mutharika to win second term: Malawi likely to have hung parliament  ”

  1. I don’t particularly like neither Peter Mutharika nor DPP but to ignore their power to sway votes their way, is being shortsighted. Malawi has weak opposition and whatever we have as opposition is so disintegrated and disorganised to have any meaningful impact against DPP. This is the reality of our politics. Most of us want change but then we are outnumbered by village idiots and educated fools who would do anything to DPP back in power. Remember that Malawi has illiteracy rate of nearly 80% and obviously these are generally poor and uneducated but have power to exercise their voting rights. Its a very dangerous vote.

  2. Bodza ili. Why sakupereka funding? Why akuti landslide victory then Parliament will be minority government? This is cooked up. Whatever predictions. Wait how Malawians will vote.

  5. These shortsighted colonial masters don’t want to dig deep into the real struggle the citizens of this sovereign country are going through with the selfish, arrogant, nepotistic and myopic govt. They ask a handful of ruling party elite and draw conclusions out of those sentiments. What kind of statistics is that? Are Malawians so cheap to be allured by such biased and erroneous forecasts? THANK GOD ONLY THE SUPPORTERS OF THIS EVIL & OPPRESSIVE GOVT ARE CELEBRATING. Come May 2019 the ballot will tell….

  6. I have no doubt what soever that these guys yout call EIU had weed from KK and then were given best African gin, Malawi gin by APM yake yokonda kupeleka mowa ndi dzibuku zomwe. This is shameful and of anything this EIU is supposed to apologise to Malawians for this insult.

  7. Hahaha hahaha. When this organization predicts your way, know that you are out. Start packing DPP and Pitala. Ask Raila Odinga, Hillary Clinton and Joyce Banda. Haha hahaha

  8. Hehehehe….DPP and Pitala start packing. When this organization predicts your way, know that you are out! Ask Raila Odinga, Hillary Clinton and Joyce Banda. They are crying pyooooooo…now! Haha haha hahaha

  9. what loburst development is it nyasi zachibwanazi kodi anthuwa akuitenga Malawi ngati dziko lochitira zachibwana eti mmene dziko la Malawi lawoleramu kununkha ndi umphawi ngati chilonda chosatsuka ndiye wina azinena kuti economy ikuyenda bwino zachamba DPP singawine 2019 zosatheka izi

  10. What is this bogus organization? They have been paid to increase propaganda. To win an election in Malawi you have to be found everywhere. Do dpp have people in Kasungu, Mzimba, Ntchisi, Lilongwe, Salima, Mchinji, Lower Shire etc.The Lomwes have proven to be very selfish people and I urge my brothers in the northern region not to be fooled by any roads they are building. They give other region too little and get big chunks. Pitala constructed a road to his wife’s home village. We need to change to sustain democracy. They have chased Chilima simply because he is from the central region. All this was started by Bakili Muluzi. We should not listen to whatever Bakili has been saying about democracy. He is a crook. He is the biggest crook and thief Malawi has ever produced.

  11. If this particular team tips you to win just know you are in your way out, ask JB, Hilary, Raila, etc.

  13. The EIU is probably spot on in terms of predictions. However, bwana and Servant in Chief please, use the second and last 5-year mandate to lift your people from abject poverty and set Malawi for real growth that is felt by both the poor and the rich (middle class). Use the best skills and brains you have in Malawi to effect the changes you envision…..deal away with patronage politics. Your Excellemcy Servant in Chief, you have too many “tidye nawo” in your team who won’t be able to do any justice to your dreams. be ruthless and let those who are with DPP to loot, go.

  14. I have checked the EIU website at country. Eiu. Com/Malawi for the report but can’t find it. Can NyasaTimes point us to actual report being quoted.?

  15. who is the this fucking EIU ?????????????? ndi kanyama kanji. can the britain based economist kha ndi mmalawi kha anagula passport stay away from us and deal with the logged story ya blexit yaowo. athane ndi za kwao then abwele kuno. kodi ndiye amapeleka ndlama zoyendetsera malawi if i may ask??????????????? mpaka tizafike 100 yrs dziko kumangobwerera mmbuyo conci with these strings of bastard liars.
    bwanji kutisiya tizasankhe tokha. kodi si malopa anabweretsa criminal wogulitsa camba mu brixton kukaima ndi pitala nkumati akudzamanga ma bed and brekfast mmbali mwa nyanjayuuuu????????????????? galu kapamba opanda proper address. nde mukuti eiu????????????????????? za nkutu izi.
    kodi cifukwa ninji mmatiopseza kumachula maiko aku abroad kwa azungu? agalu inu

  16. These reports are a sham as the 2014 election showed. The question however, is how much money the government pays to this sham think tank to produce ruling party favourable forecasts with the view to swaying votes demoralising opposition votes and legitimising voter fraud.

    Remember that famous PR firm that was forced to fold up because of its work with the Guptas in South Africa?

  18. I dont understand when the report says fragmented opposition when currently DPP is divided as well. In addition, I am puzzled when the report point state that there is robust development – which development? Substandard three kilometre roads? Substandard football grounds comouflaged as stadiums? Substandard Malata and Cement subsidy houses? Foundation stones? Uncompleted Njakwa – Livingstonia Road? Its disturbing to hear the report saying APM has filled financial black hole created by JB when just yesterday it was revealed in Parliament that MK7 billion cannot be accounted properly at ADMARC and slightly over MK200 million has been abused at Ministry of Justice. Should we mention many gates that have happened under APM watch? This report to me lacks substance and it has overwhelming factual errors. Twelve months is not far from today, lets wait and see.

  19. MCP can not be worried with EIU projection which is false as we witnessed in 2014 where it projected Joice Banda would win with landslide. Wait AFROBAROMETER those are the one that project real elections projections and they did in 2017 and they provide final report between now and 2019. We cant be moved by EIU never. Stay there and you will be surprised who can vote for Mathanyura if as i am talking now there is no power at our locations.

  20. boma ili katangale kkkk the goverment has bribed EIU to come up with that report heeeee, EIU come and see on the ground and come up with another report…….. corruption too much in this government

  23. Curious analysis. This EIU, does it have a local office? Do they rely on the EU mission or some local electoral consultants?

  24. Muzilongolola choncho APM akupanga Chitukuko. Its obvious the Dpp will win. Whether it win win with a landslide victory or simply by a narrow margin, a win is a win. Open your eyes and see what the government is doing in terms in development. What i know is that Malawians want government money to enter their pockets through thefty. When the government tightens up the loose ends through which money is stolen, anthu amakwiya nkumati boma silikupanga chilichonse. Ife anthu akumudzi kuno amene timavota tikusangalala ndi ulamuliro wa DPPand come 2019 tikuwaikanso mboma a APM amalize term yawo.

    1. Yes you are quite right any prediction regarding whatever party prior to 2019 elections is useless. Parties should just work hard on the ground to woo support from the subjects and the reality will be manifested after the polls. God is to give us a leader and we shall all render him/her support for the development of our motherland Malawi.

    1. My friend dont rule it out; it might happen or not. Thats why i say everything awaits 2019. Even if today a prediction favours Chakwera nobody should not object nonetheless, come 2019 on 23rd may its when we shall judge which body did a correct prediction! Cheers

  27. Another public stunt JB did the same but it failed. Biased torwards ruling party, but things are the same the country has no leadership under remote control. He never won election we it was Chilima works but now as he is in opposition will see how he gona rig election.

  29. This news, in particular, must be very stressful to oChakwera (and Mia) and the top echelons of MCP. oChakwera must be wondering what he can do to get a more positive projection this APM, the DPP guy? “He can’t seem to slip, even on oil he has spilled around himself!”

    Because of deference, Malawians, especially our village relatives – who are clearly the voting majority – upon hearing what the UK intelligence Economic Unit says, it is taken as the “bible”. And it shapes individuals’ political opinions, and subsequently, voting intentions.

    All the four major parties will probably have some momentum; but watch out for DPP’s. The uptick has already started, according to the foreign analysts quoted above. Even thought it’s too early to say, leading at the start of a horse race is often an indicator of strength; and moreover, in marathons, one of the early leaders usually wins the race. Just saying … for supporters of MCP to think about.

    And, it’s been said, ad nauseum, that the SGK movement is simply wasting its money and time: there is no political infrastructure, and the leader seems too shy (no political charisma) or is simply not REALLY interested in the Mpando wonona. Smart guy: he knows his sensibilities and capabilities; and at least his capacity and limitations. The presidency is very grueling abale.
    And most of those prominent supporters of his, like Akweni, should be getting ready their political obituaries because they will not be elected MPs after the next elections. What a shame, and a waste of time. I say this because some of them were good people, with admirable political skills. They naively got caught up in the so-called SGK Movement. Only turns out to be an amateurish university level political Club.

    1. You mean these lies. This fake abwana inu. Its people like you who believe this. No knowledgeable person can fall prey to this. There is nothing like this in the first place . Visit EIU website you buffoon

  31. Atha kuwinadi chifukwa cha Amalawi ena odedeluka.Nditiona anzanga ena a Ku Church ati azavotera Munthu wina wake chifukwa ndiwampingo wao.Ndiangati atuganiza choncho?Zikatero opposition sizagawana mavuto.Atoyiwala kuti munthuyi anali Ku DPP zaka zonsezi.

  32. Come to Malawi and do survey on the ground….u can’t predict DPP is going to win elections just by watching mbctv….or reading its news on their website.
    Come and meet local people here…..those living in urban areas will tell u voting for DPP again its a grave mistake.
    To hell with your prediction.

  33. These guys are paid by honorable Chaponda to be blinding Malawians so that DPP should easily ring the vote and this is part of rigging mechanism which start before the elections.Have you ever asked yourself why is this organization produce reports about Malawi alone the whole world.

  34. Economist ? It seems to be reputable . DPP should not take this for granted and it shouldn’t stop them working hard. Grass roots is very important. Malawi , you can not week using social media.

  36. They are just trying to please the government as they can not manage to be other side of the coin, how can they dictate the government if they are opposite side……..just nosense

  38. Hung parliament and overwhelming majority win is statistical nonsense. I think Russians are at work in EIU. Fotseki wena !!!

  40. Ndiye tili mmavuto-to, kungowinanso dpp ndiye bola kusamuka kumalawi. Mbava zake zimezi podzafika 2024 chuma chonse cha dziko adzakhala atagawana ngati chamasiye.

    1. Iweyo Martin ndi Chilima tapitani ku ACB mukapereke umboni wa amene abawo kuti amangidwe. Osamangolumbwalumbwa apa ayi a gulukunyinda ngati inu.

  41. Win by landslide! Aren’t these the same pollsters that declared Hillary will win and didnt give Trump a chance. How was the assessment done? what questions were they asking?Where did they conduct these assessment? What was the population targeted and size? The article itself is not comprehensive unless it provides answers to the questions above

  42. Is this a credible organisation, no wonder it predicted wrongly the 2014 elections. Nothing has improved and things are getting out of hand as if we not are having a leader. Don’t confuse us this is our home, mark my words the ruling party is packing next yr. Chilima has left the party shotly the second in command and you think he will go alone then you are making a big mistake. You can see the Chilima movement, the DPP is under panic yet Chilima has not started campaigning. Come again with another opinion poll otherwise you will be a shamed again.

  43. The intelligence of this intelligent unit grossly defies basic logic. It is also not in tandem with Malawi’s voting pattern.
    How can a president win with a ‘landslide’ at the same time have a hung parliament?
    The economy might be improving on paper but not yet translated into improved basic social services of a common man. How can that then influence voting let’s a primary school teacher who doesn’t even know what 4% economic growth of a country mean? Does this make sense to EIU? This is sheer INSULT to Malawians!!!
    This capitalist crooked FAKE unit should SPARE Malawians from this NONSENSE!
    SHAME!!!

  44. Za ziii awina boma lamake. The last time when he Muntharika took power from Joyce Banda Malawi was 6th poorest in the World today four years down the line Malawi is 3rd poorest in the World and another stupid economic man in the UK is saying due to Robust development and economic growth Malawi people are enjoying…. even though am not supporting MCP but this DPP has been worst ever in the history of Malawi. I hate the one who was writing this, I hate the one who is called EIU, life is very painful in this side of the Country. Stupid zako iwe wanena zoti ife tikusangalala ndi maziko a minyala yimene Muntharika akuyika yika without actual development.
    Ukawina pakhomo pamako

    2. Tabazikandani ndi ma denial anuwo ife tikuona ndipo rural masses they know kuti APM chiongolero basi. Inu tabalimbanani ndi awo azikofiyawo akuona ngati atadzakhale pa balot paper ndi iwoiwo. A Chakwera kupepera mpaka chipani chikuvaya little by little iwo ali kukamwa yasaaaa kuimbira nyau mmanja ngati si mbusa wa chi pente.

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