Op-Ed: UTM, MCP alliance still intact

April 23, 2020 Dave Mpaso  51 Comments

Recently an opinion piece claimed that UTM and Malawi Congress Party (MCP) alliance had collapsed– thanks Nyasa Times that it  had clearly put the disclamer the context expressed in that article did not reflect its views  but those of the author. In the same vein, I also use the platform to counter that piece in my own views too.

Malawi vice-president Saulos Chilima exchanging a foot greeting with main opposition MCP president Lazarus Chakwera

The author’s claim about the collapse of the UMT-MCP  alliance has little or no substance at all. The reasons he gives beggar belief.

It would be very unprofessional on my part to start analysing the faulty reasons he gives in his piece. They say going into a fight with a lunatic makes spectators conclude that both of you deserve a room in a mental hospital. And so this piece will not punch any holes into the substance  of the article in question.

However, the writer of the piece in question may wish to note that the UTM/MCP Alliance is by no means equal to that of DPP and UDF. These two alliances are in two different worlds. While in the DPP/UDF alliance it is very obvious that Atupele Muluzi is not going to come anywhere near the running mate position, the issue is different in the UTM/MCP Alliance.

In the UTM/MCP Alliance, both Dr  Saulos Chilima of UTM  and Dr Lazarus  Chakwera  of MCP are too strong for President Peter Mutharika. In fact, all factors being equal, Mutharika does not come any closer to  Chilima in all aspects of leadership qualities. Neither can he be anywhere near Chakwera.

It is an open secret that whoever the UTM/MCP Alliance settles for as the torchbearer will defeat the DPP/UDF Alliance candidate. If Reverend Chakwera goes as the torchbearer for this alliance with Dr Chilima as his running mate, 50 percent plus one victory is sealed. Even worse, if Dr Chilima is settled for as the one to lead the UTM/MCP Alliance and Reverend Chakwera as the running mate, a 70 percentage victory is double assured.

Whichever route the UTM/MCP Alliance decides to take, therefore, leads them to victory. So the issue in this alliance is no longer about winning this election. The issue is the margin of victory the partners wish to have.

If the alliance wants a landslide victory of above 70 percent, then Dr Chilima gets on the driving seat. If they want a mere victory of slightly above 50 percent, then Reverend Chakwera has to lead the alliance. In both cases, however, this alliance is winning the forthcoming fresh presidential elections.

It is this assurance of victory that brings peace and tranquility in the UTM/MCP Alliance. And the peace and tranquility this alliance is swimming and swinging in, are attracting more and more followers of the DPP/UDF alliance. A day hardly goes by without hearing news of either DPP or UDF members defecting to UTM.

Not long ago, the country heard about mass defections of DPP members in Mulanje, Thyolo, Phalombe and Chiradzulo to join UTM. On Tuesday, 21 April, 2020, former UDF Deputy Publicity Secretary also joined UTM. These are facts, hard facts. Not mere speculation and hearsay. And facts like these speak volumes about an alliance destined to win an election.

On the other hand, while UTM and MCP are swimming and swinging in the glory of their alliance, DPP and UDF are in deep, deep confusion. It cannot be overemphasized that all is not well in this alliance. There are battles, fierce battles in the DPP/UDF alliance.

Three opposing camps have emerged. One camp is in support of Herbert Chimulirenji as Mutharika’s running mate. This camp says Chimulirenji is humble. They say he deserves another chance.

And then there is another camp which is for Kondwani Nankhumwa as the running mate. Whether this camp will be successful in this battle is neither here nor there. The issue of substance now is that this camp is there.

Some days ago, well known DPP cadets, recorded video clips claiming that the confusion that is in DPP is being masterminded by Norman Chisale – the presidential security aide. This group, which is fighting for the removal of Chisale, is believed to be fighting for Nankhumwa. These are facts, hard facts.

The third camp camp emerging in the DPP/UDF alliance is one that belongs to UDF. This camp dreams to have Atupele as Mutharika’s running mate. Anyway, it is not illegal to dream the way those in this camp are doing.

Now, all these three camps have similar expectations. They expect that the gods will smile on them so that one of their own is picked by Mutharika. They expect that Mutharika will flip the magic page and then they will see the name of one of their own scribbled on the page. This is what each of those in the three groups expect.

But Mutharika won’t pick all of them. He will only pick one. One only. There is always one running mate. Not two. Not three.

Whoever Mutharika decides to pick will not be a good choice for the other two camps. And this will divide the alliance further. With no fear of contradiction, this is the alliance one can say is crumbling down. Not the UTM/MCP Alliance.

It is now just a matter of days before Malawians witness the actual collapsing down of the DPP/MCP alliance. In about two weeks from now, the Malawi Electoral Commission will be receiving nomination papers from presidential candidates. There will be drama in the DPP/UDF alliance just after the presentation of these nomination papers. Hearts will break.

It is after this exercise that a mass exodus from the DPP/UDF alliance to the UTM/MCP alliance will start. And the aftermath of this exodus will be tragic. Yes, tragedy shall befall the DPP family. Some shall shed true tears. Others shall shed crocodile tears. But all of us, Malawians, shall shed tears for the DPP family.

  • All views expressed are those of the author and should not be taken as reflecting the views of the Nyasa  Times.

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51 replies on “Op-Ed: UTM, MCP alliance still intact”

  1. Raza Iush uli m’ Malawi mommuno? Are you serious kuti ku south sangavotere MCP? Mmene ku Nsanje ankavotera MCP pa by-election muja unali kuti? Or maybe you dont know that Nsanje is in the southern region? Heheeee! Chaka chake n’chinoooo!

  2. Aliyense ayende yekha Kaya DPP, UDF UTM, MCP tione akamuna enieni popanda zopakapakazi. Alliance muipanji nonse

  3. Chakwera has no idea what he is getting into by selecting Chilima as his VP. Chilima is a power hungry man with ambitions well beyond Vice Presidency, and he will stab Chakwera in the back even before Chakwera wins the election. This alliance is dangerous for MCP. At every opportunity Chilima will outshine Chakwera.

  4. Nyau ndikuzavina kuzavina pamenepaja. Fumbi mbwee. Ndikuzavina azimayi Kuyimba mokweza. Gule ndikuvina kuvina kuzadumpha m’malere. Kuzagwa pansi kuti phwaaa!!! Wamaayooo!! Ndakhalira phwala!

    That will be Chakweras fate.

  5. Koma zoona Chilima makani onse aja kugwilizana ndi Ng’ona? Ndiye kuti UTM ndi dziwe la ng’onaso paja za mawanga amodzi zimawulukira pamodzi. Koma zakuti mudzalamulira Malawi ndiye ndi maloto achumba, iwalani

    4. Chidzukulu cha mtaba ndi dausi ichi chiombankhanga siyani kupha ma albino ndi anthu Ngati inu komanso anthu akakudzudzulani zakatangale osanyonga ndikuwaotcha muja mudachitila ndi WA ACB njauju nsambi a DPP. Ndalama mwagonela pansi pa bed Eni misonkhofe kuvutika kusowa mtengo ogwila dzipitani DPP inalowela ticket ya UDF, mwaiwala anthu ankakukanani a DPP funsani Bingu Kuti amatenga bwanji ma constituency 2, 3 ,5 apa tippex president pitala . Jaya alliance or Ayo either MCP or UTM ilowe muboma . Izo Za u dictator leadership nzamakedzana Malawi adakana.

  6. What is wrong with this author? He is apparently MCP/UTM alliance supporter, but goes ahead to claim that Chilima is superior to Chakwera. You can tell that he is a UTM man and is fueling the breakup of the alliance!

  8. So unfortunate that you think people will not notice what you are trying to do. It’s pathetic it’s horror. Alliance members love their leaders and trying to pitch them against each other is not going to work. Change is coming PERIOD

  10. Why do you have to write an article justifying that the MCP-UTM alliance is still intact? That in itself is an indication of problems in the alliance. Asovenge.

  11. Fuck the dumb shit!! You shouldn’t waste people’s time arguing whether or not the MCP/UTM alliance is still intact. Every idiot on the street knows that it is. Palibe nkhani apa. Mxii!!!

    2. Mukunama a MALAWI kapena aja amatukwana APM ku Lucheza anachokera kwa msundwe.End of DPP according to Prophet Liabunya Malaw prophecy about Chakwera as the 6th Malawi president.Google Prophet Liabunya malawi shocking prophecy.All has been fulfilled,Amen.

      1. Achimwene Malawians vote along tribal lines. It’s a no brainer. The minority will vote anyhow. Like they voted for a coloured man

    3. Green lies. Ask yourselves why people from Ndirande, people from Luchenza all DPP backyards will demonstrate against their own leadership. In any case why think people in Southern region don’t vote MCP? This is the clearest truth that you DPP people are regionalists selfish ones at that who think you and only you have the sole right to rule this country. This is the very reason l quit voting DPP long time ago.

    4. So you have become a southern region spokesperson kkkkkkkk. I am in the south and my vote goes to MCP for your information mr. cadet

  14. Honestry saying my friend, alliance doesn’t mean runnungmate. PP never provided runningmate to MCP though it was still bigger that time.
    Infact, as Peter is un predictable you will be surprised when he opt for someone from North not those you think about.
    As you know that now it about votes not apeasement. Northern Region is desparate, since the fall of AFFORD it has never voted twice for a single candidade, if Peter can use this choice wisely, North can change anytime.
    Having two equal powers on top position is a threat to the nation if given a chance

    1. NORTH WILL NEVER GO BACK TO ITS VOMMIT…….AND NOT DPP forget about it…The MIGHTY NORTH WILL IN FULL FORCE GO FOR THE UTM & MCP ALLIANCE….EXPECT OVER 1,300,000 VOTES TO THE ALLIANCE……

      98.99% HATE DPP AND ITS LEADERSHIP TO THE CORE AND THE 1.01% ARE TOBACCO FARMERS AND SOME MIGRATED WORKERS IN THE TOWNS……..

      IF YOU WANT TO PROVE THIS, GO AND RESEARCH but don’t mention that you are DPP because one may end up naming you as a NAMAPOPA and you will be stoned to death…….

      2. You have already forgotten that MCP is vomit for north? You have forgotten kwanu nkwanu of 1989.

        1. You refer to the Dausi, Henry Mussa and Ntaba MCP who are now commanding officers in DPP?

  18. Here is the conundrum

    1
    Saulosi Chilima has seen the dark side of being a Vice President, can he allow himself to be second fiddle again? To be wapa kaliyala as the states man Muluzi once put it. Saulosi also knows Chakwera is munthu wankhanza and him joining Mcp literally means the death of UTM a party with a mere 4 mps but indeed his brain child he holds to heart. Chilima also knows being VP again means he can only stand as president once according to current constitution.Chilima also knows it’s most likely if Chakwera wins it would mean he has to wait 10 years until he can have a fair chance of being president. He also knows Muntharika is in his last term, that puts Chilima at a fair chance of squaring up with Chakwera even on a Dpp ticket( Dpp has structures to get him elected Utm is masanje ).

    2
    Chakwera is power hungry and cannot play second fiddle to anyone. chakwera has political scores to settle with wamutharika.Chakwera has the larger party than Chilimas 1 year and 4 months old baby party.Chakwera was ready to get this country into a civil war, calling for blood just to be president. Chakwera cannot be second to anyone, he already called himself commander in chief on that fateful day in that unfortunate speech.Chakwera doesn’t trust Chilima (who can blame him seeing what Chilima did to Muntharika). Chilima is young and energetic he can wrestle the party away from him.

    This is not an alliance merely a marriage of convenience. Ngati kukwatila sisterwako on paper just to get into the Uk on spousal Visa. Sizitha bwino.

    1. Amwene polltics is not a straitjacket. In alliances there are a lot of dynamics at play employed to snatch power. The first can be the last. The last can be first. It is what happens after seizing power that is important.

  20. Just wait until those who didn’t register before UTM came out register. That’s when you will know that the MCP/UTM alliance might even get 80% of the votes

    1. Dpp and UDF have always been one from the set go. Don’t be a fool spewing trash here. Where did Bingu wamuntharika and the kaliatis come from?? Watch the might of the southern and eastern region en masse. The waking of the sleeping gargantuan coalition

    2. Just feel sorry for chakwela’s life he should not put much trust on chilima that guy is a killer

      1. DPP turned him into a killer for them and he will indeed kill them but not Chakwera kkkkk just wait, Chilima is a civilized guy…UTM/MCP Alliance will deal with UDF/DPP using the Russian Democracy Model…….2020 – 2025 President (may be) Chakwera and VP Chilima, 2025 -2030 – President (may be) Chilima and VP Chakwera, then vice versa in the subsequent years…..until 20years….then the UTM&MCP Alliance will be reviewed and probably renewed……..

        I DO NOT KNOW IF UDF & DPP ALLIANCE will still be available then because obviously one the leaders of the two parties will have died already..I do not know who but I hope you know who…REALITY!!!

    3. Mcp/utm alliance desperate party iwowo akukamba zawo kuti can’t be runningmate ku dpp koma iwowo who ever be will carry a day n if chilima lead will carry 70 Plus votes how kkkkkkk koma olemba nkhani mwalandira zingat

      1. Polemba bodza lanuli akunamizani kuti mudzakhala GS, anyway poti they are your day dreams from a crucuby like you. Mbwenumbwenuism!!!!!!!!!!!!

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