Opposition of egos: How Chakwera, Chilima and JB are campaigning for Mutharika’s win

If you hate the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) as I do and you have tears, lets prepare to shed floods of them right after May 19 Tri-partite Elections because Jane Ansah, Malawi Electoral Commission (MEC) Chair, will neither declare  Lazarus Chakwera nor Saulos Chilima Malawi’s next president. Not even Joyce Banda or Atupele Muluzi will be announced that fateful day.  She will only announce the re-election of His Excellency Professor Arthur Peter Mutharika.

President Mutharika (DPP) and UDF presidential candidate Atupele Muluzi

You don’t like it? You better prepare so that, when that day come, you should never hide your shame by concurring with the lying opposition leaders who will accuse Ansa of having worked with DPP to rig elections.

Alright, let’s get down to the facts.

DPP continues to be unpopular with each passing day. Despite the smatter of unfinished roads projects and, of course, Mutharika’s generally sober governing, there isn’t anything tangible one can, actually, get convinced to re-elect this thieving and thuggish and tribalistic party. They deserve the boot, honestly.

However, DPP is not going anywhere because of one reason: We have a case of a united force of few fighting a disjointed army of many. The few that passionately love DPP are united and unshaken while the majority that hate DPP are in fragments and shaken.

Just look around.

DPP’s main source of its strength, as a party, is in its unfathomable tribal loyalty of the Lhomwe belt—the  populous districts of Thyolo, Mulanje, Chiradzulo, Phalombe and the best part of Zomba.

Despite breakaways of stalwarts such as Patricia Kaliati, the Lhomwe belt remains an enclave of DPP—a base which no party can, presumably, claim more than 2 percent of all casted votes.

 

Because of this, DPP, unlike any other party, is going to the May 19 polls from a point of strength. All DPP needs now, which I am certain they are doing fine, is to claim additional votes from Shire Valley, Eastern Region, Central Region and the Northern Region.  With the First-Past-The-Post electoral, trust me, there is no party, against what I have said there, which can triumph over DPP.

Look at the opposition.

We have four main political parties in the opposition which are all relatively strong.  United Democratic Front (UDF) is still a major force in selective areas of the populous Mangochi, Machinga and Balaka districts. However, the Muluzi family party cannot claim, the way DPP would do with Lhomwe belt, complete ownership of the Eastern Region. DPP is also a force in some parts in this region; so too is Joyce Banda—especially in Zomba and Machinga.

We used to think of the Central Region—especially hardcore-Chewa districts of Dowa, Ntchisi, Mchinji, Lilongwe rural and Dedza—as MCP’s enclave. Not anymore—if voting patterns in the past two elections are anything to go by. We have seen DPP encroaching these districts and getting considerable votes. It will happen again.

Now with Chilima vigorously shooting in the dark, the battle for Central Region’s swing districts of Ntcheu, Nkhota Kota, Salima and Kasungu has just got more interesting. We have more players in the game of scramble.

None, of all major political parties, can claim complete control the urban vote, Northern Region and Shire Valley. Just as Central Region’s swing districts, the said areas are all up for the grab. All the major four parties—DPP, UTM, MCP and PP—has the capacity to pull considerable votes. You can Mwanza district to the equation.

What emerges from this is that DPP, riding on its unshaken base of the Lhomwe belt, has the shrewdness to, one, protect and guard its base and, two, to get additional votes, considerably so, from everywhere in the country. If you, further, add the advantage of using state resources to the equation, you know that DPP is on set. Unlike DPP, no other party is going to May 19 polls with such an advantage.

Unpredictable UTM and the shaken MCP will tussle hard in the Central Region as DPP bags home some votes.  PP and UDF will tear each other apart in the Eastern Region while DPP steals some. UTM, DPP and MCP will share the urban vote. The North and the Shire Valley is up for the grab. Such a background doesn’t favor any other party apart from DPP.

The only way to stop DPP is for the opposition to form a united force. Actually, there is hardly any ideological difference among these opposition parties. They are all campaigning on similar things.

The only thing that keeps them away from each other is nothing but apparent egos of those leading these parties. Everyone, in their fragmented majority, wants to become a President—even Joyce Banda and Atupele Muluzi.

Well, unless their egos recede, which in unlikely, don’t expect any party from the opposition to carry May 19 home. Never. In fact, with its shrewdness, DPP will work tirelessly to keep these parties away from each other. Its DPP’s only winning strategy.

Congratulations DPP for the upcoming re-election.

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gwenenthe mwale
gwenenthe mwale
1 year ago

stupid and greedy politicians. why cant you unite and fight this stupid DPP. you have to put poor malawians at heart. do you think all of you can be frontline leaders. STUPID. we need to kick out this stupid DPP

Tiyeseni Phiri
Tiyeseni Phiri
1 year ago

Election fever! The re-election of APM and his DPP is a foregone conclusion. People will go to the polls as a formality as far as the presidential race is concerned. As for Parliamentary and Local Council races, we might receive more new faces than has been the case in the previous elections: Wobwerera ku parliament ndi mzwanya!

Dagobert
Dagobert
1 year ago

It is secondary what intention the writer had, but the he is right!
Imagine, in the end we have to stay with APM, winning with around 20% of the total votes, for another 5 years?!-

Thyolo Thava boy
1 year ago

This is written by a DPP sympathiser, we know you. DPP will never rule this country again come rain or sunshine.

maxon phiri
1 year ago

This is the dream of the writer not what exactly is on the ground. The thing is DPP supporters are living in denial and think that people are still sleeping like during UDF time. Sorry my brother people have moved on.

BigMan
BigMan
1 year ago

Looking at the analysis below, one cannot but pray that Malawi should work hard to improve its educational institutions.

Colonel Mtaganda aka African Rambo
Colonel Mtaganda aka African Rambo
1 year ago

Vuto ndi amai JB game ana pinyolisa okha 2014 analibe plan B anayamba kuganiza za plan B game italowa mma penalty…olo zitavuta maka DPP sikupeleka game kwa wina kuwina by any means kuyendetsa boma nkokoma

che nnungu
1 year ago

Then I will start my fasting for the incumbent to die

Heavyduty
Heavyduty
1 year ago
Reply to  che nnungu

Why not start fasting for yourself to die.

JJ Mbewe the Pathfinder
JJ Mbewe the Pathfinder
1 year ago
Reply to  che nnungu

kkkkkkkk that is why ndimadana ndi anthu opemphera, ndi afiti, ankhwizi komanso kuweruza mosayenera. Zoona iwe kusala kudya kwako ndi mamphero ako onse, ukapemphe kuti mtsogoleri wadziko afe? Well you might not like him to a point that you’d wish for his death but know one thing my brother che nnungu, you are not God and your wishes are not of God’s. Kukanakhala kuti anthu oyipa mitima ngati inu zomwe mumapempha zimayankhidwa pano atamwalira kalekale. Anyway i’m not surprised though christians believe in their church teachings some call it church manual and also in Bible that says things that suits… Read more »

Munthu Mulala
Munthu Mulala
1 year ago

The only way to oust DPP was to form a strong opposition alliance,no single opposition party can oust DPP.

Nachama
Nachama
1 year ago
Reply to  Munthu Mulala

Thats very true..DPP is going nowhere if tje opposotion doesn’t unite

Siziyo
Siziyo
1 year ago

Let me begin with party primaries , in the past elections people were choosing MPs base on the party and regional lines . And for sure everyone knows kuti some party were not even feature there candidates in some districs because kumakhala ku base kwa ma party ena unless if they just want to finish they candidates money . But this time the game has changed that’s why you’re seeing big names loosing the primaries . So this year people will vote based on merit not party which he belong to . So the party which will have the average… Read more »

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