Economist report tips Mutharika to win Malawi presidential election
United Kingdom-based Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has tipped President Peter Mutharika and his Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) to narrowly win the May 21 2019 elections.
The report, generated on March 18 2019, says Mutharika will secure re-election in May as there is no serious threat to him.
“We expect Mr Mutharika to be re-elected as president as there is no serious threat to him from any other candidate,” concludes EIU.
The think-tank adds that DPP will remain the “the largest party” in Parliament and will “form the next government.”
Besides Mutharika’s economic and development delivery record, the EIU says main opposition Malawi Congress Party (MCP) presidential hopeful Lazarus Chakwera, State Vice President Saulos Chilima (who is presidential candidate of UTM party) and former president Joyce Banda and their parties pose no serious challenge to Mutharika and the DPP.
Banda has since withdrawn from presidential race and endorsed Chakwera’s candidature.
EIU has cited lack of policy alternative and internal divisions as factors that will contribute to Chakwera and MCP’s loss in the elections.
In the latest report, EIU reiterates the continuing divisions in MCP, saying “chronic infighting continues to plague” the party.
Analysts point out that todate, Chakwera has made no known effort to mend fences with the old guards who he banished from the party.
These officials were the spirit of the MCP and a strong link between the party and the grassroots in its stronghold.
Their disenchantment has worsned after Banda’s People’s Party officials invaded MCP and grabbed nearly half of the executive positions.
Chakwera has sought to build up his chances by striking an electoral alliance with Joyce Banda. But going by the EIU report, Chakwera may have worsened his chances further with this alliance.
It says Joyce Banda’s era was riddled with “notorious by rampant corruption”.
Referring to the failed alliance between UTM and PP, the EIU suggests any party’s alliance with Joyce Banda and PP “is based more on political expedency than strategy” and would result into a loss at the election.
It further says Chilima does not present “a serious electoral challenge”.
EIU said the same thing of Chilima in its January 2019 report, citing the undeveloped presence of his UTM among the reasons.
In case the opposition decide to resort to tricks that stir unrest and protests against the Mutharika government, this will not work, according to the EIU.
“Democratic processes in Malawi are well-established, and attempts to intensify unrest to undermine the country’s underlying stability or the government’s hold on power are unlikely,” it reads.
Minister of Information and Communications Technology Henry Mussa, who is the official government spokesperson, welcomed the report, and told Nyasa Times that the DPP will likely win because it was delivering on development agenda also addressed its shortfalls.
But MCP secretary general Eisenhower Mkaka and UTM spokesman Joseph Chidanti Malunga dismissed the report.
Mkaka said the country’s oldest political party is on its way to form government for the first time since losing the first post-independence multiparty elections in 1994.
In the run-up to the May 20 2014 Tripartite Elections, the EIU wrongly predicted a victory for then president Joyce Banda who was voted out after finishing a distant third in both presidential and parliamentary races.
EIU is a member of The Economist Group.
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EIU has never done a correct prediction. The opposite is true.
Mutharika-president, Atupele – vice.
The old man cant win. He is about to die we dont want to spend to much on a presidential funeral
The report does not reflect the actual facts on the ground. These are cooked up stories
Kodi pano tizivaso za ekonomisti????
Khalani pasi bwa.
Zongolota kapena umboni uli patipo
Kkkkkk how typical. This government vehemently refutes EIU predictions of devaluation but is all too happy to accept predictions of victory. Which is which?? Either they are reliable or useless but you cannot pick and choose to suits yourselves!
It’s just that people never learn or refuse to accept the inevitable. Wasn’t there blue all over Nsanje and LL last year? What happened on D day?
Chilungamo kupweteka abale inu. The report reflects what is on the ground. DPP Boma. Come May 21, MCP and UTM will rush to Court koma sizizaphula kanthu. Si awo a Mphinza atuluka PP. Kwasala Harry Mkandawire and ena will come out of MCP . Just wait and see. Ikhakhala UTM, che Saulosi adikire 2024. DPP Boma …………………………………………………………..2019
a EIU mwachedwa ine mnanena kale zotsatila za chisankho 1. APM 2. Chakwera 3. Saulos. APM and Chakwera azasiyana ndi a minor percentage I can guess 7-12%. In terms of MPs DPP will have the majority seconded by MCP kenako UTM.
DPP has to beg UDF’s Atupele to assist them if they are serious about winning. Give him the vice presidency, after all Chimulirenji was just a stop-gap measure. He will be easy to remove, if you had picked these others it would have spelt doom for APM
This survey report ndi yochita kugula, no question about that!! Izi zikungoonetsa kuti ndalama zokuba a DPP akusowa nazo zochita! As correctly reported in this report this same useless organisation, “EIU” wrongly predicted victory for Joyce Banda towards May 20 2014 Tripartite Elections and it will be too funny to see somebody gleaning on this nonsense!
My advice to EIU is that they better use their energy and efforts on Brexit and not on our TPE!! Please leave us alone, we know how to deal with your DPP in the forth coming election!! You’ve deliberately done this so DPP should have a basis for “refusing the would be results”! Mwaupondaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!
Thank you Sidik Mia for buying MCP, you have reduced the once mighty party to PP level. You are the only winner from this election.
kodi ma report WO ndi achani pano antu tikupita kuzisanko, mukufuna kugwesa antu mpwayi asakavoteso basi dpp mukuti inawina kale kapena , nanga nchifukwa chani mukubwelesa nkani zopusa ngati zimenezi anzunguwo akatiuzile za chisanko chakumalawi ife tili konkuno, a nyasatimes zimenezi zichepe tisamanveso nkani ngati zimenezi nkamwa nkamwa ngati mwalandila ndalama muzilemba zopusa ngati zimenezi enafe tisiya kuwelenga news zanu chifukwa ndi za bayasi, chisanko chasala miezi iwili nde wina azichiyankulila zopusa,
Boma ilo kupitiliza kulamula the fact that MCP and UTM are spending milkions and sleepless nighrs campaigning they kniw they are up against a heavy weight.
The winning of 6 parliamentary seat by MCP 2 years ago is an evident message that dpp has no chance in winning of the upcoming elections. EIU your survey is a trush.Malawians are fed up by dpp corrupt government even a person from the village knows about this. Chilima or Chakwela the game is yours. For those who love our country let us vote wisely.Malawi is in worse condition than she was 3 decades ago, instead of going forward we are going backward, whilst our neighbours like Kenya and Tanzania are going forward. Tanzania now they are making their own helicopters just imagine, Kenya now is operating speed trains. while Malawi is still clinging to an old President who has no clue on how to transform our country at all. We need visionary learders who can take our country forward. Let us forget about regionalism lets us unite as we did during Bingu’s regime and take our country out of this mess.
Talking of our neighbours successes, Zambia just announced this week that they have reached 3000MW electricity out put this month and they have 1200MW to come from yet another power station to be jointly constructed with Zimbabwe, contract already signed. And we still can not reach 300 MW
I know hobbies of MCP always crying when the truth is coming out!!!! but the good thing is you will remain to opposition side until Jesus come DPP mpaka 2024 wooooooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! wina aliraaaa!!!
What ECONOMICS is this shit? Ife Alomwe tatopa nawo akuluwa, panopa akudya ndi Alomwe ochepa owerengeka, enafe abwana sakutiganizira bola Bingu amayesesa kugawa chuma ndi ma opportunities koma awawa nde mmh sizikuyenda.
There’s no dpp in the central region. There’s no dpp in the northern region. There’s no dpp in lower Shire. Where will dpp get votes? The content is full of trash and it hinges on personalities. Dpp is a party of tribalism and regionalism. This is what Malawians don’t want these days. Dpp is full of thieves and thugs. Just because Chakwera didn’t mend fences with Daniel Mlomo and Kaliwo is a reason for MCP not win the election? Nonsense. Trash.
Albino ukucheza. Come and see how we have painted most districts in the Central blue. Mukucheza. Ana mwachepa. Atibera vol 6 in the studio.
What sort of trash is this? Where is the data? When was the study conducted and where? I have noted that this so called EIU only comes when there is a big political shake up and when things are not going on well in either government. It appeared immediately after Chilima left DPP, after the 2017 by-elections, during maizegate and now after Joyce Banda has teamed up with Chakwera. Tinakutulukirani kale; this is desk spinning at its worst.
May be if you predict death before elections and after losing
True Death is imminent here
Same as it was predicted that cyclone Idai would hit Malawi but changed its course to Manicaland then to Zimbabwe. Shame on fake prediction
Some of these studies are a big joke. The same report that failed to predict the 2014 election result has come again. One wonders which infighting in MCP is this report refering to. Any way, we now know that what EUI predicts is the opposite of what actually happens, the case of 2014 election. Let us wait for our own afrobarometer which has already proved to be accurate all along, ofcourse with its recent study indicating Chakwera poised to win the coming election.
DPP is bigger than Murharika and is the only party that has never lost an election. This is an undeniable fact. They won when they were in government and also won when they were in the opposition. Kodi enanu simumvetsa when we tell you that it’s the rural folk that vote not these bloggers and commentators on social media. The real kingmakers are people in the rural folk who vote for chimanga. Forget about MCP, it’s still tainted and it’s worse now with PP joining them. I feel pity for the real bona fide MCP supporters, stockholders and stakeholders who have been pushed to the sidelines by newcomers.
@ Anzelu ndi Anzelu this is shallow thinking at its best! Can we say just because you have survived many life threatening diseases, and these are diseases that killed our brothers, then you shall not die? Don’t be overzealous man, be practical! Nothing under the sun will be there for ever!! Signs are all over, your DPP will be pushed to the gallow this coming May 21 whether you want it or not! Kamuzu, Dausi, Musa, Ntaba etc sadafune kuchoka m’boma, and the same was for Muluzi and his team, JB and her team but Malawians showed all these the exit door! My dear, I bet you, just wait for May 21………………………………….. udzaona zomwe amachita a Malawi ndi anthu otumbwaaaaaaaaaa! Please mark my words!
Adzavota kodi iwowa, ukatchula Mutharika anthu angoti akapume nde awinila kuti? JB in love with Laz has given a chance to Chilima to gain moral on the ground. Most Malawians would love to see corrupt free Malawi not as things are now. Akuvutika ndi nyamakaziyu akapume basi.
Bwana mwawina kale. Bwato sakwelera pakati panyanja.Ayembekezere 2024.
Short Manganya waiwala what he said.
Ana achepa
They are masters at making wrong predictions. Ask JB in 2014 they said she will win, where is now? Eating the crumbs under Chakwera’s table.
Izi za EIU muziuza ana aku kindergarten zenizeni ndi zimene waulula Nankhumwa kuti akulu akulu a chipani cha DPP atula pansi zida. Kutula pansi zidako ndi chifukwa choti ayiwerenga game ndiye akuopa kuposa zala ndikudzasowa kulowera pa 23 May UTM ili pachiongolelo.
You may hate this report, but the truth prevai and it will manifest itself in May. Prof Mutharika will win, no question about it. The marriage MCP has with pp is on paper, but the truth is, pp supporters cannot support MCP President. Scars are fresh in Mangochi, Machinga, Balaka, Zimbabwe where Moslems we’re forced to eat mice. By MCP regime. They way they killed Chipembere and mistreated others, killing of Atati Mpakati, still fresh memories, those who disappeared and never came back, Mikuyu prison, Mzereka, still fresh. If the central has forgotten, the south has not and Joyce Banda cannot heal those wounds.
I for one I think somehow that was necessary. Kamuzu knew the true selfish character of Most Malawians who claim to represent the masses yet they only wanted what’s best for them. I wish if that would come back. Okuba onsewa avaye basically silence them, discontinue their existence, U arrest a corrupt politician the government spends millions to prosecute him later alone even the justice department integrity is lost the offender wins the case, then government bumps up in giving him compensation like stealing twice. Those people don’t deserve to live another day, someone who steals public funds meant for core support of the rural masses isn’t any different from a cold blooded killer. I just hear u people talking crap about Kamuzu maybe because u don’t feel pain, the way the stealing culture has engulfed the country it wouldn’t be bad to sacrifice a few for a greater good, the situation is worse that even a cleaner wants to steal a mopper for she/he feels obligated to do so since everyone is doing it there some positions that if your not corrupt you will be fired in a day, now even treatment in hospitals you need to corrupt health experts and they call them selves professionals. The situation has escalated even to NGOs you will find an accountant and driver being fired for masking and stealing 20litres of fuel. Yet their net monthly salary is 400 thousand and above and you get to question the logic. Kamuzu was bold and visionary enough to forsee this Look at most countries that have risen from scratch like China. China has no time for nonsense it’s Kamuzu style corrupt officials amangowazimitsa it starts with house arrest while there investigating them then if found guilty your gone. Rwanda is the African sensational the bottom line is these guys have zero torrelance for corruption if at all it happens it’s moderate by just a few and it doesn’t compromise projects implementation, they might just hike the price while project will be done on merit and quality results are ensured. That’s not the case with Malawi shame on us all. If only we would adopt the scary culture eradicate a few corrupt officials, that way people know that if I do this I won’t live another day to milk from the same. And life goes on, like it or not sometime the most cold inhuman acts are the only solutions for a greater good. Even Christians celebrate redemption through the death of God’s son. So I don’t blame Kamuzu even though we claim those other people were innocent it’s only because we don’t know what was in the inner circle if at all they were innocent I guess that wouldn’t happen after all no man is perfect but those that are bold in enough to go to the edge for a great good are close to the Messiah in my mind. Unfortunately the painful truth is the fact one already presented that the real voters are brain washed in the villages they will trade their votes for a peace of cloth which comes to the bottom line as in to why we don’t have remarkable rural development progress based on the logical reasoning that if the real voters open their eyes through the same developments they will start voting wisely and these corrupt governments won’t see the light of the day. So it’s profitable for them to ensure the rural folks remain as vulnerable as they can. And yet we stand on the podium and blame foreigners on our problems then it was the whites now we are pushing the blame to China. Well the Chinese and all other opportunists are only expediting what we have offered, we offer them our true identity of greed and unpatriotic shallow mindset they saw it as an opportunity to reap what ever they can. Until we unproot and burn all the corrupt officials we will keep singing the blame song. I am not MCP but Kamuzu was the great and will remain asuch I wish MCP would acknowledge that boldly that Kamuzu did what was necessary to keep the country edging forward he knew once Malawian hungry goats taste the salt of 2much freedom and corruption the country is gone. So yes he fringed some rights here and there for the betterment of us all. I wouldn’t mind going back to that where one would be forced to practice good farming, avoid soil erosion strict measures to avoid deforestation way before the green compaign was trending for he knew. Look at us now. Most of our leaders are just a combination of nyunsense
All those who oppose MCP PP alliance are either DPP or UTM sympathizers. UTM tried to work together with PP but failed because UTM leaders are big hutted. So do not fault JB for seing maturity in Dr. Chakwera. We want leaders who can give up their personal ambitions and work for the betterment of Malawi. Viva MCP viva PP viva Malawi.
This garbage belongs to dustbin, or toilet to say the least. Probably written by someone with very serious mental health issues. Or work of another a serial, killer thief, conman,
Which local villager does even know whqt a government policy is?
Or if this nonsense is to be taken seriously, is universal fertilizer subsidy not different from FISP?
These polls indicators were totally wrong in 2014, what ever tools they use don’t apply to African politics let alone Malawi politics Which is in its own class. MEC please u need to set up counseling center for the losing presidential candidates and Mp candidates to avoid suicides like before. These polls misguiding info dont help much.
Didn’t we have several polls predict Joyce Banda was going to lose and she was rattled by this.
MCP INFIGHTING…?????. Kkkkkk…..what kind of report is this one…….Which fighting….
DPP SPENDING OUR TAXES TO PAY THIS USELESS ORGANIZATION S…
This is cheap propaganda…dpp supporters dont be fooled by this report, dpp is losing come May 21st
Paid up opportunist, 2014 was paid up by PP to predict winning formula but ended up goofing as PP lost to DPP.
Now u have decided to milk our taxis once again by blindfolding our poor leaders to believe your nonsense.
This is totally trash, You are based in UK when did you consulted me to find out whom am I going to vote for? You won’t vote but am going to vote come May 21st, what about you??
Making Conclusion without doing research is what we call day dreaming my brother.
Mukukana chain a MCP! Denial siyabwino. Mwanamveka akanayamba akupangani counseling asanapange release report mongazimachitikila ku VCT. Ndakumvesani, pepani.
@ Silica
Inu what we are saying is there is no such a report. Why getting carried away with lies.
No doubt, the internecine savage wars inside MCP have not been helpful to the Party.
And the coming of the Mias probably exacerbates the morale in the Party. Furthermore, MCP can’t just erase or wish away their evil history in running this country during their loathed dictatorship. Many generations have this in mind when they cast their votes.
Mayo, mayo … Mia ayambe kulira ndi oChakwera’o! Again, for MCP.
Often, timing is everything in politics: not in favor of UTM and their boy, Chilima, who can’t rationalize many of “his” proposed policies.
The EIU can miss the mark, but they do know their stuff. So, let’s wait for UofM (Chirunga) analyses before concluding that DPP have it all in the bag.
A couple of more points:-
-The EIU has rightly nailed PP and Joisi Banda to the massive theft scheme, Cashgate. The scheme that set us back nine steps when we took one step forward. Now MCP can piggy back on that Cashgate record too.
– Also interesting how the EIU paints a peaceful and tranquil political landscape under the DPP. Compared to the alternative! Always compare.
No harm dreaming in colour. Fact is we’re done with DPP and APM. Ameneyu akapume azikalandira chithandizo cha nyamakazi ili Ku m’kono wa kumanja.
This is a given fact. Take it or leave it
Mbuzi mbuzI za mano kunsi meeeee meeeee ! Propaganda ija ya dpp / Peter yogula ma media reports akunja ija yayambika tsopano —
kkkkkkkk Inu a EIU please sit down. Mutharika cannot win
Munthalika he must GO! Amene mukuti enawa ai do u know what ur talking about? mulimoyo kapena ai mutu sukuyenda bwino? chomwe mukuti dpp zinthu zikuyenda zinthu zake ziti? Kapenanso ndinu amodzi mwa anthu omwe mukuba nawo ndalama.Musamale ndianthu omwe mukuti sangawine chifukwa abwela kumene,tizadzidzimuka pa 22 May.
So EIU predicted Joyce Banda a winner in 2014 election. So who won?
What is this report saying about MCP? infighting in MCP, by the way, can Nyasatimes provide a link for this story so that we can read for ourselves
The last report on Malawi was on 13/03/2019 and was about the declaration of floods. FAKE NEWS
This think tank is supposed to be sued.
EIU I am very sorry for the prediction. You have just missed it.UTM WILL FORM THE NEXT GOVERNMENT.
kkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk, what a load of nonsense. Unfortunately these guys are no different than Fryson Chodzi and any other “opinion for hire”. If UDF paid them enough, they would also come up with an analysis saying UDF will sweep all the seats in the northern region. Mark my words, DPP is DEAD!
So why wasting our precious time to tell us about a report coming from a useless organisation that always predict the opposite?
Where is the report? The report released on 18th March included JB and Chakwera alliance?? Or dpp propaganda?
Fake report.
What MCP internal divisions? with Gustav Kaliwo? zakalekale!
Shame to some Catholic bishops who are campaigning for chilima. They shall lose together.
Mpingo walowa libolonje uwu. Ma scandal thooo coz it’s leaders are but busy with politics. Iwe bishop msusa please wake up. Mpingo ukufatu uwu.
@ psyuta
Anthu tikunena za report yanu ya fake inu mukulimbana ndi mipingo. Mitu yasokonekera DPP ndi anthu mukupha a albinos