Economist report tips Mutharika to win Malawi presidential election

United Kingdom-based Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has tipped President Peter Mutharika and his Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) to narrowly win the May 21 2019 elections.

President Mutharika’s tipped to win

The report, generated on March 18 2019, says Mutharika will secure re-election in May as there is no serious threat to him.

“We expect Mr Mutharika to be re-elected as president as there is no serious threat to him from any other candidate,” concludes EIU.

The think-tank adds that DPP will remain the “the largest party” in Parliament and will “form the next government.”

Besides Mutharika’s economic and development delivery record, the EIU says main opposition Malawi Congress Party (MCP) presidential hopeful Lazarus Chakwera,  State Vice President Saulos  Chilima (who is presidential candidate of UTM party)  and former president  Joyce Banda and their parties pose no serious challenge to Mutharika and the DPP.

Banda has since withdrawn from presidential race and endorsed Chakwera’s candidature.

EIU has cited lack of policy alternative and internal divisions as factors that will contribute to Chakwera and MCP’s loss in the elections.

In the latest report, EIU reiterates the continuing divisions in MCP, saying “chronic infighting continues to plague” the party.

Analysts point out that todate, Chakwera has made no known effort to mend fences with the old guards who he banished from the party.

These officials were the spirit of the MCP and a strong link between the party and the grassroots in its stronghold.

Their disenchantment has worsned after Banda’s People’s Party officials invaded MCP and grabbed nearly half of the executive positions.

Chakwera has sought to build up his chances by striking an electoral alliance with Joyce Banda. But going by the EIU report, Chakwera may have worsened his chances further with this alliance.

It says Joyce Banda’s era was riddled with “notorious by rampant corruption”.

Referring to the failed alliance between UTM and PP, the EIU suggests any party’s alliance with Joyce Banda and PP “is based more on political expedency than strategy” and would result into a loss at the election.

It further says Chilima does not present “a serious electoral challenge”.

EIU said the same thing of Chilima in its January 2019 report, citing the undeveloped presence of his UTM among the reasons.

In case the opposition decide to resort to tricks that stir unrest and protests against the Mutharika government, this will not work, according to the EIU.

“Democratic processes in Malawi are well-established, and attempts to intensify unrest to undermine the country’s underlying stability or the government’s hold on power are unlikely,” it reads.

Minister of Information and Communications Technology Henry Mussa, who is the official government spokesperson, welcomed the report, and told Nyasa Times that  the DPP will likely win because it was delivering on development agenda also addressed  its shortfalls.

But MCP secretary general Eisenhower Mkaka and UTM spokesman Joseph Chidanti Malunga dismissed the  report.

Mkaka said the country’s oldest political party is on its way to form government for the first time since losing the first post-independence multiparty elections in 1994.

In the run-up to the May 20 2014 Tripartite Elections, the EIU wrongly predicted a victory for then president Joyce Banda who was voted out after finishing a distant third in both presidential and parliamentary races.

EIU is a member of The Economist Group.

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Patani
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Patani

EIU has never done a correct prediction. The opposite is true.

nyalugwe
Guest
nyalugwe

Mutharika-president, Atupele – vice.

che nnungu
Guest

The old man cant win. He is about to die we dont want to spend to much on a presidential funeral

Aka
Guest
Aka

The report does not reflect the actual facts on the ground. These are cooked up stories

Njolo mpilu
Guest
Njolo mpilu

Kodi pano tizivaso za ekonomisti????
Khalani pasi bwa.
Zongolota kapena umboni uli patipo

Chifundo
Guest
Chifundo

Kkkkkk how typical. This government vehemently refutes EIU predictions of devaluation but is all too happy to accept predictions of victory. Which is which?? Either they are reliable or useless but you cannot pick and choose to suits yourselves!

mtete
Guest
mtete

It’s just that people never learn or refuse to accept the inevitable. Wasn’t there blue all over Nsanje and LL last year? What happened on D day?

Mulopwana
Guest
Mulopwana

Chilungamo kupweteka abale inu. The report reflects what is on the ground. DPP Boma. Come May 21, MCP and UTM will rush to Court koma sizizaphula kanthu. Si awo a Mphinza atuluka PP. Kwasala Harry Mkandawire and ena will come out of MCP . Just wait and see. Ikhakhala UTM, che Saulosi adikire 2024. DPP Boma …………………………………………………………..2019

Khima
Guest
Khima

a EIU mwachedwa ine mnanena kale zotsatila za chisankho 1. APM 2. Chakwera 3. Saulos. APM and Chakwera azasiyana ndi a minor percentage I can guess 7-12%. In terms of MPs DPP will have the majority seconded by MCP kenako UTM.

nyalugwe
Guest
nyalugwe

DPP has to beg UDF’s Atupele to assist them if they are serious about winning. Give him the vice presidency, after all Chimulirenji was just a stop-gap measure. He will be easy to remove, if you had picked these others it would have spelt doom for APM