MCP has found a winning formula: Political analysts say Chakwera gets boost with JB’s endorsement

March 15, 2019 Zawadi Chilunga - Nyasa Times, 40 Comments

Political analysts have tipped Malawi Congress Party (MCP) that it has an upper hand to win the May 21 2019 Tripartite Elections after  former president Joyce Banda announced on Thursday that she  has withdrawn her presidential bid and endorsed opposition frontrunner Lazarus Chakwera of MCP.

Mkaka (L) and Matola exchange documents to formalise the agreement
MCP-PP alliance sealed
PP entourage included Banda’s son Roy Kachale, who is also Zomba Malosa legislator, and PP vice-president (Eastern Region),  spokesman Ackson Kalaile Banda and Banda’s aide Andekuche Chanthunya.

MCP, which governed the country in a one-party dictatorship from 1964 to 1994, also takes along the country’s former vice-president Khumbo Kachali – a political kingpin in the populous Mzimba District – and his Freedom Party (FP).

JB, as Banda is widely known by her initials, and her People’s Party (PP) garnered just over 1 million votes in the last election, which could be enough to tip the scales in Chakwera’s favour based on his level of support in 2014.

Governance expert Henry Chingaipe believes MCP has found itself a winning formula, much as it was already strong before the pact.

“With the MCP and PP alliance working out, and if the DPP-UDF alliance does not work out, then the threat is even bigger to DPP. But I think if the DPP-UDF alliance works out, then it would be a countervailing cushion to reduce the threat that comes with the MCP-PP alliance,” said Chingaipe in quotes reported by leading daily newspaper, The Nation.

“I don’t think an alliance between DPP and UTM can work out, I also don’t think the UDF-UTM can work out. With MCP and PP forging an alliance, it leaves UTM in the cold as I don’t think UTM could come as a third party to join an alliance of MCP and PP,” he added.

According to Chingaipe, while vice president and UTM presidential candidate Saulos Chilima has mounted a strong campaign for his presidential bid, it is difficult to deduce the type of electorate that would vote for the party as it is new in elections.

On his part, Ernest Thindwa, a political scientist at the University of Malawi’s Chancellor College, also hailed the MCP-PP partnership, saying the MCP needs to ensure that it seals the deal as it works more to its advantage.

“These elections are likely to be very close, the margin of victory will be very slim and any extra vote to any party is significant. If MCP and PP were to support one candidate, then

MCP will have struck a good deal because they have the potential to win the election and if they can acquire extra vote, that will be significant,” the leading daily quoted him as saying.

Thindwa is on record as having warned that any party which touts itself to be strong enough to go it alone will be taking a risky path.

DPP is in an electoral alliance with tiny party Depeco of evangelist Chris Daza.

Banda, who served as president between 2012 and 2014 and reiterated her wish for opposition parties to form an electoral alliance to unseat DPP, had been set to run for the role again in elections in May.

“Malawi is bigger than individuals,” a joint statement from Chakwera’s MCP and Banda’s PP said.

“As such we all have to set aside individual aspirations and embrace the greater and common good.”

About 6.59 million voters are expected to vote this year, with over half of the eligible voters being youths and women.

MCP says it intends to build a new Malawi on the foundations of a democratic State powered by the Chakwera Super Hi 5.

In his Hi5, Chakwera is committing prospering together, ending corruption, upholding the rule of law, servant leadership and uniting Malawi.

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40 replies on “MCP has found a winning formula: Political analysts say Chakwera gets boost with JB’s endorsement”

  1. mama cashgate dot lie to pple that ur still popular in the north…..noooo n a big noo! u lost it al to utm….if u think am lying lets wait for 21may

  2. A BIG BOMB HAS FALLEN………ITS NOW TIME TO START LISTENNING CRIES FROM HELPLESS PARTIES…..KKKKKKK

  3. The analysis of made on this alliance is a total joke. That is what people with poor scope of mind can say, but not analysis based on strength of the parties, political history and calibre of politicians within those parties.

  4. Joyce Banda has simply withdrawn from the race and pledged to support MCP. This is.a clean MCP that is not involved in violence. Dpp is killing albinos. Dpp. Is molesting Kalindo. Dpp nearly beat up Kaliati at Parliament. MCP is not involved in all this. If Joyce stole money why don’t you arrest her now. Alamu Pumani Mwakalamba adaba K145 million with Zameer. Who is building flats ku Ntaya near Bunda turn off.? Kuba started with Bingu. Bingu built Casablanca from stolen money. Even manda alimowo is stolen money.Za Bakili ndiye mukudziwa kale.

  6. You have dropped H5, its now H4, cause you cannot talk about corruption anymore, you just dropped it by teaming up with CASHGATE

  7. Don’t lie to us that MCP is clean, you have just gone to bed with PP the most corrupt party ( CASHGATE) in the History of Malawi

  10. How can clean pipo chakwera and Mia be associated with cashgate queen.You have lost my vote MCP I will vote for Dpp

  11. By endorsing Chakwera, Joyce Banda should know that not all her party supporters can vote for Chakwera. The reason is simple. The scars that people have concerning MCP regime in 31years. Yes, she has made an alliance with MCP, but not all her supporters will drink from MCP cup. Just wait and see what is going to happen. The strong holds of pp can vote for the mp but for President to go for MCP, mrrrgh, that will be a problem. Don’t take people for granted, and I believe pp supporters in Mangochi can vote for MCP President for example.

    1. The problem is that you fail the names of those that suffered under MCP apart from the Nwanza four. The others were just criminals. Is udf spared from political killings? How many people did Bingu kilk abmnd arrest? Bingu killed 21 people in Juky 2011. The present dpp is killing albinos. The present dpp and udf burnt utm vehicles in Mangochi. The present dpp killed Njaunju. The present dpp beat up Kalindo and has arrested him. Udf had Marshall, Shaban Kadango Henry Moyo and Zimba as killers. Dpp is doing all this in multiparty democracy.

  12. MCP has officially endorsed cashgate, the very thing they have campaigned against. Lost my vote, sorry ntheradi

  13. THE COMING OF JB TO MCP HAS SWAYED THE POLITICAL PENDULUM FURTHER RIGHT.

    DPP SHOULD THINK TWICE….UTM SHOULD START PREPARING FOR POST ELECTRAL TRAUMA…UDF – ATUPELE CONTINUE BEING HUMBLE , YOU DON’T HAVE ENEMIES SO FAR…

    1. It happened in 2009 when bakili indorsed tembo but failed miserably .Don’t take us for granted,our vote is our right,we can decide without being directed by someone.My vote is utm basi zinaxo za jb zo nde kaya!!

  14. OK, so you guys are good mathematicians. But you are damn analysts. Going by math, 31+6=37 so, this means MCP=37%, DPP=33%, UTM =28%. So MCP wins. Is that what you ate saying?

  15. Whether one likes it or Not, But the truth of the matter is NOW Victory for MCP is very much certain. voting for a different party will be wasting your vote. mark my words, you might just need them on 22 May

  16. Honestly, this alliance is a killer. This is a view that can be shared by any one with no political inclinations. MCP has made it, this is a step forward. One may not be surprised to see MCP winning the coming elections if the status quo remains.

  18. Some of these so callled analysists should not be taken seriously. Kulubwalubwa ndi ntchito yawo. Amangounika mbali imodzi ya nkhani basi-osaowa mavuto omwe angakhalepo kutsogolo kwake .JB cannot add value ku M.C.P in the long run chifukwa ndi anthu ofuna zao zokha. Funso nkumati M.CP itadzalowa mboma ndimavuto ati adzaoneke ku chipanicho. Kuli kale Mia wadyela zedi amene adzafune zake zidzabwerere ngati samudziwa bwino komanso enawa adzabweretsa mpungwepungwe kuchipanicho. Pazinthu ngati izi kutsogolo kwake Mia ndi JB adzapanga upo ofuna kuti Chakwera asadzakhalenso ndi mphamvu koma awiriwo.Tikhalenawo adalanda malo.Osamagona mu ndale. Shame!!!!!!!!

    1. Akulu mukunena chani , DPP ndi UTM ndiamodzi mavuto onse tili nawo panowa anthu ake ndiamenewa zosachita kufunsa alamulira limodzi zaka zonsezi palibe kusiyana apa, chili chonse a UTM anganene chotukwana boma kuli ngati kunditukwana okha.

  19. You dont really know Malawians of today now PP supporters will be voting for different parties MCP might be the majority but this has split votes thus just the reality…

    1. That would have been the case if MCP did partner UTM cos ndi DPP palibe kusiyana same ppl who fucked up this country.

  20. Koma nsanje ili ndi mmalawi njaufiti ndithu. JB atabwela mbali yanu anali oyela. Panopa poti wasankha chipani chomwe aliyense wanzeru akuona kuti ndichowinawina mukuti walakwa. Pitani mukakolope nyanja MCP Boma!!!!

  21. This alliance is not worth writing home about. DPP is the only party that has never lost a general election and there is a reason why. DPP won when they were in power and they also won when they were in opposition. There is a reason why. The day MCP and UTM find out why DPP always wins elections, it will be on the 24th of May when election results will be announced. Ena adzalila, ena a kulila komanso ena alila kale. DPP is strong at grassroot level and that support base is full of registered voters who vote as a bloc. Do not underestimate the power of incumbency, they have the machinery, the people and the system. Mark my words, Joyce Banda and Dr Laz azakuwa momvesa chisoni when results are being announced. They will not believe their ears. UTM is a nonentity, full of potential but very naive. They need at least 10 years in opposition before they can learn the tricks of the trade. In Malawi elections, it’s not the votes that count but its counters that vote.

  23. These so called commentators always fool MCP. When it comes to elections in Malawi MCP flatters to deceive just like Arsenal in the premier league in England. Tisamve andibera chaka chino chifukwa alliance ikuonetseratu kuti mutakwera pasikelo mwadziona kuti mukuperewera.

  26. A DPP mulipo pano. akuti panokha simungalimbe mwatha basi. Ngati mwafika pothawa ma debate basi yambanipo kupakira. Achilima mulimba panokha munamukana JB alindi large followers in Malawi particulary in the North and Eastern region of Zomba, Balaka and partly southern district of Chiradzulo. A UTM mulibe khalidwe kutukwana ndi ma drama too much people can not take you serious pali ozozedwa wa Mulungu Dr. Chakwera satukwana sanyoza fundo zotukula a Malawi basi.

  27. Ine monga wowona za Ndale ndikukayika ngati zimene mukunenazo ndi zowona , Bakili anapangapo zomwezo mu chaka cha 2009 atakanizidwa kuti ayime iye anapanga gwirizano ndi MCP koma sizinatheke. Kwa ine kuwona kwanga anthu ena apita ku UTM ena ku DPP amene anali wosatila PP mwina pang’ono ku MCP . Kunena zowona mbiri ya MCP Bakili Muluzi anayipisa kwa mbiri kuno kumwela nthawi inja amati olo mutanda thira Doom sindinga votele MCP Chipani Chamangazi.

    1. Mulindi nzeru phiri.Your observation is good as mine. no election alliance can divide the south.

      1. Jacob, dont be very tribalistic in your thinking.Alliances are not meant to divide but unite regions and the people.Iwe indiye ukuti no Alliance can divide the South and hence the southern vote because in your thinking all people belong to your DPP party.All iam saying is that now more people or voters in the South who were divided will be more united to vote for Chakwera

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